Dog Days of Summer: Geopolitical Tensions & Keeping Cool with DKB
Several weeks ago I said how I loved the beginning of summer…. We have officially hit the dog days. Grass is burnt, garden needs to be weeded, Yankees are a half game...
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Several weeks ago I said how I loved the beginning of summer…. We have officially hit the dog days. Grass is burnt, garden needs to be weeded, Yankees are a half game...
Fuel pricing had a nice correction going the last couple of weeks, both gasoline and diesel were down about $.15. That was put on pause yesterday as the focus shifted...
Since early June we have seen diesel prices add over $.30 in value, peaking last week ahead of the holiday. We have peeled off almost half of that increase in last 4...
It is very easy in this business to look back and think “what just happened?” With a relatively calm news cycle the last two weeks, calm in the sense of more of the...
A week ago we mentioned that we might reset to a new low if the three key drivers fell in line. They did just that, for the most part. OPEC+ rolled production status,...
As it has been said, “It’s the same old story, same old song and dance” specifically to the Oil complex. The trident of fundamental influences on the market over the...
This is one of my favorite times of year. Grass is green, garden is popping, Yankees are still in first place, kids Interning 40 hours a week, and the bustle of activity...
I talk a lot about the short term happenings, inventories, missile strikes, etc. The real key is to look at the long term, minimally the mid-range. While diesel demand kicked up a whopping 10% last week, the four week average is still down by 3.8%. Similar with gasoline demand that showed strength last week, but is still down about 1% on a four week average. As core inflation finally ticked down 2 basis points this week, what are the long term effects, should that trend continue? The FED should start to cut interest rates, slowly over time. Lower borrowing costs typically stimulate an economy, thus pushing up demand for fuels, and higher prices. We are about $.15 higher on diesel pricing than we were last year at this time, and spent much of the early summer in a tight range, we may have some downside left as war premiums are shed.
There are a plethora of factors that move futures markets. Technical factors such as support levels, moving averages, strength indicators. Fundamental factors such as...
With June future screen taking over, we have clearly reset the range over the last week. Recall, we noted that many were anticipating ULSD futures to reset back to the...