Energy Market Updates

Floating Barrels, Sinking Sentiment

Once again we ended last week with a nice correction only to give it all back so far this week.  Again finding ourselves smack dab in the middle of the summer range.  Forward looking sentiment appears to have fully accepted we might be in for a bear run soon.  A start to an Israeli-Hamas peace deal looks to be on the horizon.  A mixed bag of Inventory data this week that is likely to be corrected due to the shutdown-Distillate demand strangely jumped almost 8% over last year.

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Diesel Rebounds, Demand Lags, and Drones Hit Refineries

Diesel futures remain on the high side of the summer seasonal range, taking back all of last weeks losses.  Fundamentally, even as demand saw a little bit of a boost this past week, if you strip out exports (implied demand),  we are still well below last years figures.  Gasoline, while slightly more stable, is still soft on a national level.  The inelasticity of gasoline (people need gas to commute daily) tends to be overlooked more than Diesel as it has a direct relationship to the health of the overall economy.  If folks aren’t buying diesel, trucks aren’t running.   

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