Energy Market Updates

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Venezuela

From Venezuela to Iran: A Volatile Week in Fuel

It has been yet another bizarre week in the fuel world, although we are relatively numb to the bizarre.  Almost two weeks after the removal of the former Venezuelan dictator, markets jumped roughly $.20 as focus shifted to the next crisis, Iran.   One would have thought we would see some additional downside or at least a calm period as the US tries to figure out its restructure plan for Venezuela.   

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Supply, Demand & Staffing Put Question Marks on Current Rally Strength

Fuel prices sit about $.30 higher today than the beginning of the month as we broke out of the comfortable range in MAY through JUNE.  The three week rally can mainly be tied to production cuts, unpredictable inventory reports and mostly an optimistic view on the overall health of the US economy.  The bright side is we are over $1.00 lower than this time last year.  The question remains, does this rally have any legs? 

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OPEC keeps upward price pressure up,PDVSA sanctions have little impact

Prices have been trending upward this week, largely based on OPEC following through on production cuts. Namely, we saw a drop in output of around 800K bpd in January by its member nations. This would seem to indicate that the so called "OPEC+ deal" to cut output and thus global oversupply is actually being followed, and it appears it is starting to have the desired effect - stabilizing prices higher than we have seen over the past year or so.

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