Energy Market Updates

Posts by:

Mark Pszeniczny

Shipping Lanes & Supply Strains

Futures markets surged higher yesterday on both a breakdown of Ukrainian-Russian talks along with naval “exercises” by Russian and Iranian fleets next to the Straits of Hormuz. A long talked about chokepoint in shipping and oil movements, any stress in that region will trigger panic buying. Good news is that east coast cash prices for products did not move has high as futures, which is reflected in your pricing. Still Diesel futures sit roughly $.50 higher than early JAN, touching the very top end of the range. Warmer temps into the Northeast are also helping to ease physical pricing as product movement and usage gets back to a normal pace.

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Light on the Horizon

There is light on the horizon. It finally appears that the Northeast is making its way out of the longest severe cold stretch in over 10 years. Not to mention some heavy snow accumulations throughout the region. During this period we saw Natgas spike forcing most power plants into curtailment relying upon fuel oils to produce electricity, terminal ports needing ice breaking ships to allow offloading of product, four hour loading lines at terminals, and every fill cap north of Baltimore frozen. Lingering effects persist with Kero pricing remaining very high as seasonal stocks start to dwindle. With the predicted warm up, we hope to see some return to normalcy in the next few days.

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From Venezuela to Iran: A Volatile Week in Fuel

It has been yet another bizarre week in the fuel world, although we are relatively numb to the bizarre.  Almost two weeks after the removal of the former Venezuelan dictator, markets jumped roughly $.20 as focus shifted to the next crisis, Iran.   One would have thought we would see some additional downside or at least a calm period as the US tries to figure out its restructure plan for Venezuela.   

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