Energy Market Updates

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Jobs Report (3)

Jobs data, Inventories and Dollar lead to mix day

Another mixed end to another volitile session that saw both RBOB and HEAT finish on opposite sides of par.  Solid early morning gains built on Wednesdays DOE report that had all products reporting substantial draws, much higher than expectations, eventually gave way to news of yet another dismal Job report.  The number of Jobless claims missed analysts expectations by about 10,000 claims that sent the pits down at the Opening Bell.   Heat and RBOB were down almost .04 each as Crude remained strong on a falling dollar.  The Dollar continues to  hover around a 2 1/2 year low.  While strife continues abroad, the threat of barrels off the market appears to be taking a back seat.  The Saudi cartel have stated that there is no need for excess production as buyers appear to be limited.  As we mentioned, the volitility from day to day has remained with a downward bias.  The hope amongst peers is that at somepoint it falls off the shelf.  As a reminder, the NYMEX is closed Friday in observance of Good Friday.  At the Close Crude added 81 cents to $112.29, RBOB jumped .0313 to $3.3086 and HEAT fell .0222 to $3.1992.

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NYMEX rises on jobs and overseas risk

RBOB spent much of the day bouncing back and forth from positive to negative before finally ending stronger.   Heating Oil never broke negative but did tease with it about mid day.  Depending upon which news wire you read, Libyan rebelshave either lost control of a major oil port city or regained full control.  The lack of credible reports coming from the crisis is playing into the risk premium.   New data was released this morning that shouwed the economy grew by 3.1% in Q4, slightly above the expected 3.0%.  Also psuhing values higer was data showing the economy created an addtional 31k jobs in the last month.  How much of that is seasonal workers is yet to be determined.  The rosey view and geopolitical risk that continues to spread over northern Africa and the Mid East has pushed HO above the $3.14 level, closing up .0369 to $3.1714.  RBOB moved higher by .0175 to close at $3.1688.  Crude reached an 18 month high before closing up .53 to $108.47.  We had said that the market appears to fade after HEAT touched $3.14, the breakthrough of that resistance level today lends to higher prices in the future. 

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