Energy Market Updates

Futures Rise as Cliff gets Less Steep and DOE's Draw

Overnight trading set the tone for much of todays session as early markets were up well over two cents on both products. News out of European Markets showed that Greece's credit rating had been upgraded along with an unexpected increase in the consumer confidence among Germans had pushed the US dollar lower. Commodities were the unfortunate collateral damage in this scenario. More importantly, it appears that some movement by GOP leaders to increase taxes on those Americans making over $1 million a year (Phew, I'm safe!) has been seen as a major concession in the stalled talks. Again, Bullish on Commodities. Lastly, the DOE's released the weekly numbers that showed draws in distillates and Crude, -1.1mbl and 949k respectively, with a modest build in gasolines, +2.2mbl. The report was viewed as Bullish by most even with Crude missing the expectations of a 1.3mbl draw, evidence of the mentality of the day already given up to higher prices. Look for action to continue higher as a historical light trading week winds down and HO stays well within the 2.90 to 3.10 range we have been in for the last 90 days. At the close, Crude gained $1.58 to $89.51, Heat added .0391 to $3.0356 and RBOB led gaining .0522 to $3.7431.

 

DAILY HEATING OIL CHART

heat map

 

RBOB CLOSE
CLOSE CHANGE
 
JAN 27431 +.0522
FEB 27338 +.0496
MAR 27412 +.0495
APR 28792 +.0582
MAY 28719 +.0499
JUN 28406 +.0486
HEAT CLOSE
CLOSE CHANGE
JAN 30356 +.0391
FEB 30313 +.0374
MAR 30176 +.0353
APR 29965 +.0355
MAY 30258 +.0352
JUN 30077 +.0345
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Different Day, Same Headline as Futures Retreat

Once again the NYMEX started off the session well into positive territory with a strong Sunday night open. Much of the gains were attributed to Chinese data released Sunday that showed its Industrial Output rose year over year, signaling stronger demand. But as the day wore on, continued worries about Europe, as the Italian Prime Minister abruptly resigned, appeared to be entering into Traders minds. That fear turned inward as the real concern centers around US distillate demand. Its Common knowledge that inventory levels of distillates are on the very low end of the range, so in the minds of most, the lack of demand is overshadowing the lack of product. Others point that this is just the season to book some profits as traders square up the quarter. I'm pleasantly surprised that we have maintained HO below the $2.95 level, a clear level of support is difficult to define at this time. At the close, Crude fell .37 to $85.56, RBOB was up only 7 points to $2.5981 and HEAT led the charge lower falling .0191 to $2.8962.

Heat map

 

RBOB CLOSE
CLOSE CHANGE
 
JAN 25981 +.0007
FEB 26071 +.0024
MAR 26266 +.0034
APR 27758 +.0041
MAY 27705 +.0035
JUN 27437 +.0020
 
HEAT CLOSE
CLOSE CHANGE
JAN 28962 -.0191
FEB 29056 -.0184
MAR 29043 -.0178
APR 28923 -.0157
MAY 29227 -.0138
JUN 29095 -.0124
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