Demand Surge & Global Impacts
A massive increase in demand for gas and diesel stalled the downward correction we have been seeing as of late. Adding to that, both finished products inventories fell last week, diesel futures took the lead and jumped up more than $.05 yesterday. While we seem to be set for an early spring and hopefully a more robust construction season, the 15% increase in distillate demand has many scratching their heads. Even with the latest increase, the 4 week average for demand on distillates is still relatively flat. Gasoline average demand is still down about 3%, even after last weeks 6.4% increase. Buoying pricing was also the first reported fatalities onboard a Commercial Vessel from Houti attacks in the Red Sea area. A major global shipping lane, this latest attack will likely all but halt most vessels from entering the area. The FED is in a holding pattern on rates, but have hinted that they will make “appropriate” adjustments in the coming months as inflation appears to be stalling, how that influences fuel pricing remains to be seen. I would expect pricing to continue this sideways action and be somewhat range bound for the next week or so.