Wild May Ends in Wild Fashion with HEAT retracement

Posted by Mark Pszeniczny on May 31, 2012 5:23:00 PM

Lets take a minute to put this month into perspective as we all recognize our short memories. On May 1, HO opened at 3.1783. Todays close of 2.7062 is an astounding .4721 cent retracement. For several weeks we spoke of a fall to the 2.75 level on prompt month Heat, and it has become a reality. With the majority of talk centered around the ongoing European crisis, today saw more length shed from Commodities on the heels of continued growing Crude stocks and some uninspiring job data. The delayed DOE report showed Crude adding 2.2mbbls against an expected build of 800k, yet gasolines fell 832k and a rather bullish distillate draw of 1.7mbbls, verses expectations of +200k and +500k respectively. Traders apparently feel that Crude levels are so robust, it far outweighs and week to week changes in refined products. Secondly, ADP's monthly report on new job growth fell short of expectations as it showed 133k unit gain. Support that figure was new jobless claims rose by roughly 10,000 this past month. All in all, the market continues to search for a bottom as the US dollar gains strength and length is pulled from Commodities. At the close, Crude fell 1.29 to $86.53, RBOB lost .0332 to $2.8250 and HEAT slipped another .0336 to $2.7062

Daily Heating Oil Chart

Heat map

RBOB CLOSE
CLOSE CHANGE
 
JUN 28250 -.0332
JUL 27227 -.0512
AUG 26676 -.0477
SEPT 26244 -.0444
OCT 24770 -.0430
NOV 24442 -.0408
HEAT CLOSE
CLOSE CHANGE
JUN 27062 -.0336
JUL 27032 -.0406
AUG 27130 -.0403
SEPT 27249 -.0394
OCT 27375 -.0385
NOV 27507 -.0380

Topics: Jobless claims rise, HEAT, CRUDE

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