Futures Plunge as Data shows Economy Soft

Posted by Mark Pszeniczny on Aug 18, 2011 9:37:00 PM

I feel like I have said this before, but what a difference a day makes!  With yesterday market making its own reality, today i would say it got kicked in the pants BY reality.   Futures started the session down hard and sold off heavily as a string of bearish data got reported.  First was the July Home sales report that showed sales fell by roughly 3.5%, second was the jobless report for last week which increased by 9000 new claims.  Generally not a good sign with an already weak economy.  Lastly, Morgan Stanley downgraded their outlook for the remainder of the year, and within the report noted that it was cutting GDP estimates by roughly .3%.  So what does all this mean?  "There is Gold in them there hills"...  Generally, news like this would push Commodities higher as equities would absorb the brunt of the sell off, but with values of Crude and products perceived to be overpriced, the selling carried over to the NYMEX.  Keep in mind what we mentioned a few weeks ago,  in order for things to start to improve, it has to start with cheaper fuel prices.  Where that level is, only time will tell.  At the close, Crude fell$5.20 to $82.38, RBOB lost .0871 to $2.7832 and HEAT shed .0868 to $2.8748

heat map

RBOB CLOSE
                 CLOSE       CHANGE 
  
SEP    27832       -.0871
OCT    26652      -.0750
NOV    26299      -.0770
DEC   26131       -.0784
JAN    26146       -.0791
FEB    26256      -.0795
HEAT CLOSE
          CLOSE    CHANGE
SEP    28748    -.0868
OCT   28836     -.0870
NOV    28948      -.0864
DEC   29049     -.0859
JAN   29153       -.0857
FEB   29149       -.0854

Topics: Commodities, GDP, New Normal, Jobless numbers

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